Renewal Forecast Calculator

The Renewal Forecast Calculator estimates how much of your contract value coming up for renewal you can expect to keep, and how much is at risk, so you can plan the period ahead with confidence. You enter the total value up for renewal and your expected renewal rate, and the tool multiplies the two to give the forecast renewed value, then subtracts that from the total to show the at-risk amount you could lose if those renewals do not land. Finance teams, customer success leaders and founders use this to build revenue forecasts, to set retention targets, and to decide where to focus renewal effort, since the at-risk figure points straight to the value worth protecting. Because recurring revenue compounds, even a modest lift in the expected rate can move the forecast meaningfully, which makes this a useful planning and scenario tool as much as a forecast. To get a credible number, base your expected renewal rate on your actual history rather than optimism, ideally using a value based renewal rate so partial renewals and downgrades are captured, and include only the contract value genuinely due in the period. It helps to run a few scenarios, a conservative and an optimistic rate, so you can see the range and plan for the downside rather than a single point. Track the forecast against actual renewals as the period closes to sharpen your expected rate over time. Pair it with your renewal and downgrade rates for a fuller view of how value moves through your base. Used this way, the calculator turns renewal season from guesswork into a clear forecast you can budget around, share with your board, and act on while there is still time to save the revenue at risk.

Forecast renewed = value up for renewal x expected renewal rate. At-risk = value - forecast. Estimate only, not financial or tax advice.