This calculator compares the cumulative earnings of an apprenticeship against a university degree in New Zealand, cutting through the debate about which path pays better with actual numbers. The two routes have very different shapes. An apprentice earns from day one, learns on the job and finishes with little or no debt and a trade qualification, so they are often years ahead financially early on. A degree usually means three or four years of study with little income and a student loan to repay, but it can lead to a higher salary afterwards. Which comes out ahead depends entirely on the wages involved and the time horizon you look at, and the honest answer is that the apprenticeship is often well ahead for many years before a higher graduate salary slowly catches up, if it does at all. This tool shows exactly that. You enter the apprentice's typical wage, the number of years the degree takes to study, the total cost or debt of the degree, the graduate's starting salary, and the number of years you want to compare over. The calculator returns the total earnings of each path at the end of that period, the difference between them, and the crossover year, the point at which the graduate's higher salary finally overtakes the apprentice's head start, if it happens within a normal working life. Use it to inform a real career decision, to challenge assumptions in either direction, or simply to see how powerful earning early and avoiding debt can be. It uses flat wages for clarity rather than modelling raises, and ignores tax and lifestyle factors, so treat it as an illustrative comparison, not a forecast of any individual's earnings.
Uses flat wages for clarity and ignores tax, raises and lifestyle. An illustrative comparison, not a forecast.
The apprentice earns their wage every year from the start. The graduate earns nothing during the study years and carries the degree cost as debt, then earns the graduate salary in the remaining years. Each path's total at the end of the period is compared, and the crossover year is the first year the graduate's cumulative earnings overtake the apprentice's.
Over 10 years, an apprentice on $48,000 earns $480,000. A graduate who studies 4 years with $28,000 of debt then earns $65,000 for 6 years totals $362,000 after debt, so the apprentice is ahead by $118,000 at year 10. With a $17,000 salary gap, the graduate does not overtake until around year 17.
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