💰 Returns, Restrictions, and Reinvestment

Why Banks Offer Higher Returns for Reduced Access

The trade-off is straightforward: you give up access and flexibility, bank gives you higher return.

Bank's Perspective:

• Your locked money provides stable funding for their lending
• Can confidently lend it to mortgage borrowers and businesses
• Earn margin on loans funded by your term deposit
• Worth paying you more because of certainty they have

Your Perspective:

• Sacrifice liquidity and flexibility
• Receive higher return than accessible savings
• Guaranteed return with no investment risk
• Trade immediate access for better interest

Early Withdrawal Restrictions

Breaking a term deposit before maturity is possible but costly and discouraged.

What Happens with Early Withdrawal:

• Penalty fees: Bank charges fee for breaking term
• Reduced interest: May forfeit all or most interest earned
• Bank discretion: Bank not obligated to allow early withdrawal
• Administrative process: Not instant like regular savings withdrawal

Why Penalties Exist:

• Bank planned around having your money for full term
• Early withdrawal disrupts their funding and lending
• Penalties compensate bank for disruption and lost opportunity
• Discourage casual breaking of terms

Reinvestment Risk and Maturity Decisions

When term deposit matures, you must decide what to do with the money.

Maturity Options:

• Reinvest: Roll into new term deposit
• Withdraw: Take money back to use or move elsewhere
• Partially withdraw: Take some, reinvest remainder

Reinvestment Risk:

• Interest rates may have fallen since you first invested
• New term deposit offers lower return than original
• You've locked money away but now getting less return
• No guarantee future rates will match past rates

Timing Challenge:

When your term deposit matures, the prevailing interest rate environment determines what return you can get on reinvestment. You can't control this timing or predict future rates.

🪜 Laddering and Risk Level

The Idea of Laddering

Laddering means spreading money across multiple term deposits with different maturity dates.

How Laddering Works:

• Instead of one large term deposit, create several smaller ones
• Each has different maturity date
• Regular maturities provide periodic access to funds
• Averages out interest rate fluctuations over time

Laddering Benefits:

• Regular access: Some money becomes available periodically
• Rate averaging: Not all money locked at one rate
• Flexibility: Can adjust strategy as each term matures
• Reduced timing risk: Not betting everything on one rate environment

Example Structure:

Instead of putting all funds in one long-term deposit, split across short, medium, and long terms. As each matures, reinvest or use as needed. This creates regular opportunities to access funds or adjust strategy.

Risk Level Compared to Shares and Funds

Term deposits are very low risk compared to investment options like shares, property, or managed funds.

Term Deposit Risk Profile:

• Capital protected: Your original deposit returned at maturity
• Return guaranteed: Interest rate locked in, certain return
• No market risk: Value doesn't fluctuate with markets
• Bank stability: Risk limited to bank failure (very rare in NZ)
• Deposit insurance: Some protection through deposit guarantee schemes

Shares and Funds Risk Profile:

• Capital not protected: Can lose money
• Returns variable: May gain or lose value
• Market risk: Value fluctuates with market conditions
• Higher potential returns: Risk comes with growth opportunity

The Trade-Off:

Term deposits sacrifice growth potential for safety and certainty. Shares and funds risk losses for growth opportunity. Neither is universally better - depends on goals, timeline, and risk tolerance.

When Term Deposits May Suit Conservative Savers

Good Fit If You:

• Prioritise capital protection over growth
• Cannot afford or tolerate investment losses
• Have short timeline before needing money
• Want guaranteed, predictable returns
• Are near or in retirement with no capacity to recover losses
• Have other growth investments and need conservative balance

Poor Fit If You:

• Need regular access to your money
• Seeking growth to build wealth
• Have long timeline and can tolerate volatility
• Want returns that outpace inflation meaningfully
• Already have too much in conservative assets

📉 Inflation, Liquidity, and Broader Planning

Inflation Risk Explained

Even though term deposits protect your capital, inflation can erode your purchasing power.

How Inflation Risk Works:

• Your deposit and interest are guaranteed
• But prices of goods and services rise over time (inflation)
• If term deposit return is less than inflation rate, you're losing purchasing power
• Money returned buys less than when deposited
• Capital is "safe" in nominal terms but diminished in real terms

Example of Real Returns:

If inflation is rising faster than your term deposit interest, you're effectively going backwards. Your account balance grows, but what it can purchase shrinks. This is the hidden risk of "safe" investments.

Liquidity Trade-Offs

Liquidity means having access to cash when you need it. Term deposits sacrifice liquidity for higher returns.

What You Give Up:

• Cannot access funds for emergencies without penalties
• Cannot seize opportunities requiring that capital
• Cannot adjust if circumstances change
• Must have other accessible funds for unexpected needs

What You Gain:

• Higher return than accessible savings
• Forced discipline - cannot spend locked money impulsively
• Guaranteed return regardless of market conditions

Common Misunderstandings

Misunderstanding 1: "Term Deposits Grow Wealth"

Reality: Term deposits preserve capital and provide modest income. They don't typically grow wealth meaningfully, especially after inflation and tax. For wealth building, need growth assets.

Misunderstanding 2: "Completely Risk-Free"

Reality: Very low risk, not zero risk. Bank failure possible (though rare). Inflation risk real. Opportunity cost of missing better returns elsewhere.

Misunderstanding 3: "Always Better Than Savings Accounts"

Reality: Better return but less flexible. If you might need money, accessible savings better despite lower rate. Emergency fund should never be in term deposit.

Misunderstanding 4: "Can Break Anytime Like Regular Savings"

Reality: Early withdrawal has significant penalties and is at bank's discretion. Term means commitment, not suggestion.

Why "Safe" Does Not Mean "Growth"

Safety and growth are different objectives requiring different approaches.

Safety Focus:

• Protecting capital from loss
• Guaranteed, predictable returns
• No volatility or downside risk
• Modest returns that preserve but don't significantly grow wealth

Growth Focus:

• Building wealth over time
• Variable returns with higher long-term potential
• Accepting volatility and temporary losses for growth opportunity
• Returns that can meaningfully outpace inflation

The Distinction:

Term deposits are safe - excellent for preserving capital you cannot afford to lose. But they're not growth investments. Trying to build substantial wealth with only term deposits is slow and often loses to inflation. Need growth assets for that.

How Term Deposits Fit Broader Financial Plan

Balanced Approach:

• Emergency fund: Accessible savings, not term deposits
• Short-term goals: Term deposits if timeline matches term length
• Conservative allocation: Part of diversified portfolio for stability
• Retirement income: Creating regular income stream through laddering
• Capital preservation: For money you cannot risk losing

Not Entire Solution:

Term deposits serve specific purposes but shouldn't be your only financial tool. Need accessible savings for emergencies, growth investments for building wealth, appropriate insurance for protection. Term deposits are one component of broader financial plan, not complete plan themselves.

Final insight: Term deposits are simple, conservative savings product where you lock money with bank for fixed period in exchange for guaranteed return. Higher interest than everyday savings because bank can use your money confidently for lending. Early withdrawal severely restricted with penalties - term means commitment. At maturity, face reinvestment risk if rates have fallen. Laddering spreads maturity dates for regular access and rate averaging. Very low risk compared to shares and funds - capital protected, returns guaranteed, no market volatility. Suit conservative savers prioritising safety over growth, those with short timelines, or as part of diversified portfolio. Inflation risk real - purchasing power can erode if returns don't keep pace with rising prices. Liquidity trade-off clear - sacrifice access for higher returns. Common misunderstandings include thinking term deposits grow wealth (they preserve it) or are completely risk-free (inflation and opportunity cost are risks). "Safe" means protecting capital, not necessarily growing it meaningfully. Term deposits fit into broader plan as conservative component alongside emergency fund in accessible savings, growth investments for wealth building, and other financial tools. Not solution for every goal but valuable for specific purposes: preserving capital you cannot afford to lose, generating guaranteed income, parking money for known short-term need. Understanding what they do well (safety, certainty) and what they don't do (growth, flexibility) helps use them appropriately in your overall financial strategy.