Holding Cost While Unsold Calculator NZ
Every week a house sits unsold costs its owner money, and the cost is invisible in a way that makes it easy to ignore. Nobody sends an invoice for it. The interest keeps accruing, the rates instalment arrives on schedule, the insurance renews, the lawns get done before the weekend viewing, and none of that presents itself as the price of holding out. It only becomes visible when an offer arrives that is slightly below what you hoped for and the question becomes whether to take it. At that point the relevant number is not the gap between the offer and your expectation but the gap between the offer and what a later, better one would be worth after paying to wait for it. That figure is usually larger than people expect, and on a mortgage of any size it accumulates fast enough to swallow the difference between a disappointing offer and a good one.
Where the weekly cost comes from
| Cost | A year | A week | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mortgage interest | $40,300.00 | $775.00 | 81.6% |
| Council rates | $3,600.00 | $69.23 | 7.3% |
| Insurance | $2,200.00 | $42.31 | 4.5% |
| Body corporate levy | $0.00 | $0.00 | 0.0% |
| Upkeep and maintenance | $1,200.00 | $23.08 | 2.4% |
| On the market extras | $2,080.00 | $40.00 | 4.2% |
| Total | $49,380.00 | $949.62 | 100.0% |
Interest is 81.6% of the weekly cost, which is why the size of the mortgage matters far more than any of the other items when deciding how long to hold out.
The decision in front of you
Holding out is worth it only if you believe a better offer is more than $5,697.69 higher and will actually arrive within 6 weeks. Both halves of that have to be true.
What each further month costs
| If it takes another | Holding cost | Total since listing |
|---|---|---|
| 2 weeks | $1,899.23 | $9,496.15 |
| 4 weeks | $3,798.46 | $11,395.38 |
| 8 weeks | $7,596.92 | $15,193.85 |
| 13 weeks, a quarter | $12,345.00 | $19,941.92 |
| 26 weeks, half a year | $24,690.00 | $32,286.92 |
Interest is almost the whole number
On any ordinary New Zealand mortgage the interest dwarfs everything else in the holding cost, and the practical consequence is that two vendors with identical houses can face completely different decisions about whether to hold out. Someone with a small mortgage can afford to wait for the right buyer almost indefinitely, and someone who has borrowed heavily cannot afford to wait at all. That is not a difference in patience or negotiating skill, it is arithmetic, and it is worth knowing which of those positions you are in before an offer arrives rather than during the twenty minutes you have to respond to it.
The offer in front of you is the benchmark
Deciding whether an offer is good is a comparison, and the mistake is comparing it against your hopes. The correct comparison is against the alternative, which is the best offer you might get later minus the cost of waiting for it. Rejecting an offer to hold out for one that is ten thousand higher is only worthwhile if that offer materialises before the holding cost eats the difference, and on the default figures here that is a little over ten weeks. A better offer that arrives in week eleven has gained you nothing at all.
Time on market is not neutral
The cost above is the direct one. There is a second effect that cannot be put in a spreadsheet: buyers treat a long listing with suspicion, and agents will tell you the enquiry rate on a property drops away sharply after the first few weeks because the people actively looking have already seen it. That means the probability of the better offer arriving is not constant over time, and the longer you wait the lower it usually gets. The arithmetic on this page assumes nothing about that, which means it understates the case for taking a reasonable offer early.
Worked example
A vendor owes $620,000.00 at 6.50%, which is $775.00 a week in interest. Rates of $3,600.00 a year add $69.23, insurance of $2,200.00 adds $42.31, upkeep of $1,200.00 adds $23.08, and $40.00 a week of standing charges on an empty house brings the total to $949.62 a week, or $4,115.00 a month.
The house has been listed for 8 weeks, so $7,596.92 has already gone. An offer has arrived and the vendor is considering holding out for 6 more weeks, which would cost a further $5,697.69.
That means a later offer has to be more than $5,697.69 above the one in front of them before waiting has produced anything, and it has to arrive within the six weeks. Interest alone is 81.6% of the weekly cost.
How this is calculated
Mortgage interest is the balance multiplied by the annual rate, divided by fifty-two to give a weekly figure, using the balance as entered rather than reducing it over time. Each annual outgoing is divided by fifty-two in the same way, and the on the market extras are already weekly. The weekly holding cost is the sum of all of them, and the monthly figure is that multiplied by 52 and divided by 12 rather than by four, since a month is longer than four weeks. Cost so far is the weekly figure multiplied by the weeks already listed, and the cost of waiting is the same multiplied by the further weeks. The amount a later offer must beat today's by is exactly that cost of waiting, since anything less leaves you behind where you would have been by accepting now.
Official sources
- Selling a property, Real Estate Authority
- House insurance, Insurance Council of New Zealand, on unoccupied dwellings
- Interest rate statistics, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
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